Data: 29/04/2010

Autore: Carlo Mazzaferro - Università di Bologna

Abstract: We present the technical structure of CAPP_DYN, a population-based dynamic microsimulation model for the analysis of the long-term redistributive effects of social policies, developed by the CAPP (Centro di Analisi delle Politiche Pubbliche) in order to study the intergenerational and intragenerational redistributive effects of social security system reforms. The model simulates the probabilistic socio-demographic and economic evolution of a representative sample of the Italian population for the period 2005-2050. After a brief review of similar existing models for the Italian economy, we offer a more detailed analysis and discussion of the model’s functioning, together with a description of the estimation procedures employed in each of the model’s individual modules.
JEL Classification: C51, C52, H55
Keywords: Dynamic microsimulation, lifetime and intragenerational redistribution, social security systems